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Why did this share price move, and what usually happens next?

Type a ticker. In plain English you'll see what has been driving the price, which kinds of news move it, how it reacted after past news, and a realistic price range for the next week, month and quarter.

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Tesla is free to explore.

Frequently asked questions

What does Catalyst Atlas do?

Catalyst Atlas explains why a share price moved. Type a US or UK ticker and it splits each move into the part caused by the whole stock market, the sector and interest rates, and the part caused by the company's own news. It then shows how the shares reacted after each kind of news in the past, from the day of the news to three months later, and a likely price range for the next week, month and quarter.

What is the difference between the actual move and the move vs market?

The actual move is the real change in the share price. The move vs market is what is left after taking out the effect of the whole stock market (scaled by how strongly the share usually follows it), its sector and interest rates. It shows what the company's own news did, so one news day can be fairly compared with another.

How are the news days found?

The tool looks for days when the company's own move (after taking out the market) was unusually large, plus every results day. Results are labelled as a beat or a miss against analyst forecasts. Other big days are labelled from news reports; when the news does not clearly explain a move, it is shown as unexplained.

How is the likely price range worked out?

The range uses how much the share price has been moving recently, or what the options market is pricing in where that is available. It shows a 7 in 10 range and a 9 in 10 range for one week, one month and three months ahead. It shows how far the price might move, not which way.

Does Catalyst Atlas work for UK shares?

Yes. Enter UK tickers with .L at the end, for example SHEL.L for Shell or BARC.L for Barclays. For UK shares the market adjustment uses the FTSE 100.

How much does Catalyst Atlas cost?

Tesla is free to explore without an account. To look at other companies, sign in with your email and buy a pack of 10 searches for £2.29 (US $2.99). It is a one-off payment, not a subscription, and searches do not expire. Opening the same company again within 24 hours does not use another search.

Is Catalyst Atlas financial advice?

No. It is an educational research tool. It shows what has happened in the past and does not recommend buying, selling or holding any investment. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.

How to read this page
ACTUAL vs VS MARKET
Every % on this page is labelled. Actual is the real change in the share price. Vs market (the company's own move) is what is left after taking out the whole stock market (scaled by how strongly the share follows it), its sector and interest rates. Example: if the market fell 1% on a day the share fell 3%, and the share usually moves twice as much as the market, the own move was about −1%.
Catalyst
A piece of news that moved the price: results, sales figures, a product launch, a lawsuit, a political story, and so on.
Day 0, 1 week, 1 month, 3 months
The company's own move (vs market) on the first trading day after the news, then added up over 5, 20 and 60 trading days. This shows whether a reaction lasted or faded. "Week before" is the own move in the 5 days before the news.
"Worked 6 of 8 times"
A simple count from this company's own history. Small counts are weak evidence, which is why cards with fewer than 4 examples are marked "Few examples".
Price range
Actual share prices. Based on how much the price has been swinging (or, where available, what the options market is pricing in). It is a range, not a forecast of direction.

Educational research only. Fintiq Ltd is not authorised or regulated by the FCA and nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any investment. Past patterns do not guarantee future results, and prices can fall as well as rise. News labels are produced automatically and can be wrong. Data may be delayed or inaccurate.